Bitcoin Could Drop 15% More Before Finding a Real Bottom
A longtime technical indicator suggests Bitcoin's selloff isn't over yet and traders may need to brace for deeper losses.
If you're sitting on Bitcoin hoping the worst is behind you, one veteran market signal says not so fast. A long-standing indicator tracked by analysts is flashing a warning that BTC may need to shed another 15% or more before a genuine floor gets established. That's not noise — that's a tradeable thesis you need to take seriously right now.
Bottom-calling in crypto is a losing game when the technicals haven't confirmed a reversal. This indicator has a track record of identifying capitulation zones, and right now it's pointing lower, not sideways. Until price action lines up with what this signal demands, buying the dip is just catching a falling knife with extra steps.
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The broader macro backdrop isn't doing Bitcoin any favors either. Risk assets have been under consistent pressure, and crypto tends to amplify those moves on the downside. A 15% decline from current levels would represent a significant but historically normal retracement within a larger cycle — painful, yes, but not unprecedented for anyone who has watched BTC move through prior bear phases.
The smart play here is patience. Watch the indicator, watch the volume, and don't let short-term bounces convince you the bottom is locked in. Traders who wait for confirmation rather than prediction tend to come out ahead when volatility is this high. The signal hasn't cleared yet — and that matters more than your feelings about where Bitcoin should be trading.
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